viernes, 10 de junio de 2011

The Importance of Being Earnest: Validation is the Absolute Essential for Successful Application and Interpretation of QSPR Models - Tropsha - 2003 - QSAR & Combinatorial Science - Wiley Online Library

The Importance of Being Earnest:

Validation is the Absolute Essential for Successful Application and Interpretation of QSPR Models

Alexander Tropsha1,†, Paola Gramatica2, Vijay K. Gombar3
Article first published online: 16 APR 2003


Abstract

This paper emphasizes the importance of rigorous validation as a crucial, integral component of Quantitative Structure Property Relationship (QSPR) model development. We consider some examples of published QSPR models, which in spite of their high fitted accuracy for the training sets and apparent mechanistic appeal, fail rigorous validation tests, and, thus, may lack practical utility as reliable screening tools. We present a set of simple guidelines for developing validated and predictive QSPR models. To this end, we discuss several validation strategies including (1) randomization of the modelled property, also called Y-scrambling, (2) multiple leave-many-out cross-validations, and (3) external validation using rational division of a dataset into training and test sets. We also highlight the need to establish the domain of model applicability in the chemical space to flag molecules for which predictions may be unreliable, and discuss some algorithms that can be used for this purpose. We advocate the broad use of these guidelines in the development of predictive QSPR models.


DOI: 10.1002/qsar.200390007
Copyright © 2003 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim

martes, 29 de marzo de 2011

Best Practices for QSAR Modelling

Interesting papers about the validation and predictivity of QSAR Models:

Validation and Predictivity of QSAR Models - Hugo Kubinyi (lecture slides)

Best Practices for QSAR Model Development, Validation, and Exploitation - Alexander Tropsha - (2010), Best Practices for QSAR Model Development, Validation, and Exploitation. Molecular Informatics, 29: 476–488. doi: 10.1002/minf.201000061

martes, 17 de agosto de 2010

GA Multiple response models

“An important characteristic of the GA–VSS method is that a single model is not necessarily obtained but the result usually is a population of acceptable models; this characteristic, sometimes considered a disadvantage, provides an opportunity to make an evaluation of the relationships with the response from different points of view. A theoretical disadvantage is that the absolute best model could be not present in the final population. However, after a
careful selection of the best models, ! consensus analysis can be performed contemporarily using the selected models and estimating the response as weighted average of the responses of the single models.”

Molecular Descriptors for Chemoinformatics,
Volumes I & II
Roberto Todeschini
Viviana Consonni